www.horsleyweather.com - The weather in Horsley, Surrey, UK

The coming weeks weather will be dominated by low pressure and associated fronts.

Wednesday looks like it will be particularly wet.

Towards the end of the week, there is a possibility that it will start to dry up.

All in all, a pretty bleak outlook for this week, considering it is July and, looking further ahead, the unchangeable theme does seem set to continue.

With the weekend approaching and the Raleigh School Fayre about to happen, we thought an update would be useful, although maybe not welcome!

Unfortunately, the weather over the weekend is not going to be good!

With a low pressure close by, wind and rain will be the order of the day. However, don't let that put you off - Done your cagoule and go down to support your local school

For those going further afield, perhaps to Germany, the weather will be quite pleasant with reasonable temperatures and good sunny periods - Bon voyage Fred !

22 June 2008

We were away in the Brecon Beacons last weekend so missed the weekly update - Apologies.

Following the somewhat unseasonal weather this weekend with very gusty winds resulting from the low pressure system to the North, the coming weeks weather looks to remain changeable with temperatures close to the seasonal average of 21 DegC.

Whilst Northern areas are likely to be affected by heavy showers or longer periods of rain for much of the week, our corner of the country should remain mostly dry until Friday when longer spells of rain seem likely.

The unsettled theme continues in to the weekend and the following week so keep those cagoules handy!

Following a rather soggy family holiday on the Isle of Wight last week, normal service is resumed!

Had I been writing this last wednesday, I would be forecasting the coming week to be dry and very warm as the computer models all pointed towards building pressure and warm air siting over the UK.

However, on Friday, the proverbial Japanese butterfly flapped its wings and the models did a sudden turn-around to predict the high slipping 1000 or so miles West and a low forming over Scandanavia.

For the UK, this is bad news because it will result in cool Northerly winds.

So, for the beginning of the week, it will remain warm and settled. However, as the week progresses, the temperatures will fall and there is a small prospect of rain on Wednesday or Thursday as a cold front moves south across the UK

By late next week, into the weekend, daytime highs will struggle to reach 20 DegC.

As always, a week is a long time in forecasting and the butterfly may again flap it's wings - But it doesn't look likely.

Well, as we said last week, a week in weather forecasting is a long time and hopes of a dry Bank Holiday have been dashed . . .

As a deep depression moves up from the south, our area is expected to be affected by heavy, possibly torrential rain.

The main rain event will start on Saturday evening and continue through much of Sunday in to Monday morning.

By Monday afternoon, we should see some reasonable breaks in the cloud but this could start off heavy showers which could merge in to longer periods of rain.

Into next week, things don't look set to improve with strong NE winds making it feel really quite cold for much of the week.

With a high to the North of the UK bringing cool arctic air over the UK, the coming week will start cool with very cold nights for this time of the year. Indeed, temperatures could dip towards freezing with ground frosts possible so gardeners take note.

As the week progresses, it will start to warm up with the later part of the week being pleasantly warm.

The Bank Holiday weekend looks as though it will be dry but as always, a week in weather forecasting is a long time . . . .

This week will see a similar pattern to last week as an area of low pressure becomes anchored close to the British Isles, bringing cooler, showery weather at first, with longer spells of rain likely.

The computer models are suggesting that pressure may build (note the non-committal language here!) to the south as we run in to the Bank Holiday weekend. If this does happen, we will see warmer weather reaching the Horsleys and the possibility of a pleasant Bank Holiday weekend.

However, with the air around us pretty unstable at the moment, a week is a long way off so keep an eye on the forecasts and check back here mid-week when we hope to post a weekend update.

The cool weather and April showers looks as though it will continue well in to next week with a couple of longer spells of rain possible on Monday and Tuesday night.

As next weekend approaches, there are signs that we will lose the cool easterly wind in favour of a southerly wind and the temperatures will start to rise, possibly reaching 21 °C for the first time this year, although the showery weather does look as though it will continue. It is April after all!!!

Sorry for the late update - We've been away in the Peak District where we had sun, rain, hail and snow and that was all in the first two hours of the first walk!!

With a high sitting to the north of the UK, blocking any warmer air from reaching the UK, the coming week looks to be very much on the cool side.

Frosts are possible during the first half of the week with daytime temperature remaining in single figures most of the time with double figures reached if we are lucky!

Precipitation is likely to be sporadic but could fall as wintry showers with the odd rumble of thunder mixed in for good measure.

Following a number of recent requests, we are pleased to resume the weekly outlook. The service may be interupted at times due to pressure of work or family life but we will do our utmost to provide a regular synopsis of the coming weeks weather.

After the weekend snowfall, the week will start with changeable conditions, possibly with wintery showers.

As the week progresses, temperatures look set to recover somewhat although conditions will remain changeable through to next weekend and beyond with showers or prolonged periods of rain.

The coming week is expected to remain pleasant with temperatures between 12 and 15 DegC and plenty of sunshine.

Last weekend, we forecast an unsettled weekend for 10/11 March - How wrong could we be! But that's the problem with forecasting a full week ahead in the UK, especially at this time of the year where small changes in wind or pressure can make large changes in the weather for a particular area.

So, with that caveat, we do expect next weekend to be cooler and more changeable but keep an eye out for updates as the week progresses.

Following Sundays deluge, Monday is expected to be bright and breezy. However, later on Monday, yet another period of strong winds and heavy rain will visit the Horsleys, leaving Tuesday to be a day of showers or longer periods of rain and remaining breezy.

Further showers or a longer spell of rain on Wednesday. Hopefully mostly dry Thursday but some light rain later in the day.

The mild unsettled theme continues this week as the Atlantic deposits yet more of itself on to the Horsleys!

Seriously, with the exception of Monday, which should be dry and bright, the week will see more South-West winds bringing yet more rain.

As the rain, possibly heavy at times, falls on to the already saturated ground, we can expect to see quite high levels of run off with some loalised flooding.

Look out for "gutter rivers" in West Horsleys "The Street" and East Horsleys "Ockham Road South" and try to avoid soaking pedestrians if you are driving.

Last week, the weather watching fraternity was rather excited as computer models started suggesting an area of very cold air, currently affecting Central Europe would move east to give us another dose of wintery weather. The computer models struggled to predict the outcome which swayed between "it's going to be very cold" and "it's going to be very mild".

In the end, the cold air has remained to the East of the UK and the mild weather continues to affect the Horsleys.

So, the coming week looks to remain rather changeable with mild or very mild temperatures and showers or longer spells of rain.

The half term week will be windy and mild as we see a return of the westerly winds.

Wednesday looks as though it will be the best day of the week, with other days giving wet or showery weather.

The coming week is a bit of a mixture, starting dry and cold with maximum daytime temperatures of only 3 DegC. however, by Wednesday or Thursday, rain will push in from the South West bringing stronger winds and milder temperatures so by the weekend, we may double digit, mild temperatures again.

One thing to watch out for is how and where the warm, moist air meets the cold air. As the two air masses meet, there is potential for snow, although it's unlikely here in Horsley - But there is a very small chance of a reasonable accumulation on Wednesday or Thursday

Next week sees the local schools on half term so of course, the weather will be uncooperative with mild but wet conditions to begin with but possibly improving towards the end of half-term

After the fun of last weeks brief period of cold snowy weather, this week temperatures should return to the seasonal average as quiet, settled weather develops across the UK.

High pressure is moving south eastwards towards the UK which will stop the cold north easterly winds of recent days. It does look as though the settled spell will continue into next week with an increasing chance of some overnight frosts later on in the week.

An early "heads up" for a possible return to cold weather in a couple of weeks time. Some of the computer models are predicting a return of the northerly winds with daytime highs of 1 or 2 DegC and 90% chance of snow for our area. At this stage, it's a long way off and we will bring more news as the data becomes more reliable. - As they say, watch this space . . . . .

Finally, a bit of a disaster on last weeks data gathering - We had a malfunction with the data logger which has now been repaired. It does however mean that we lost all last weeks cold weather data. If anyone has that data we would be very grateful if you would let us have a copy. Please email me at neil at horsleyweather.com if you can help (replace the "at" and the spaces with "@")

21 January 2007
Following last weeks "still no sign of a cold spell" forecast, this week sees things turning completely around with high chances of daytime temperatures only reaching 2 DegC.

With an atlantic high bringing northerly air flows and some frontal systems running North to South across the country, this week sees quite a high likelihood snow falling, although it's probably not likely to settle much.

Make the most of it though because by early next week, the Atlantic lows look as though they will again start to dominate bringing a return of the mild and wet conditions that we have - er - enjoyed so far this winter.

14 January 2007
Still no sign of a cold spell
(Midweek Update - The latest computer models are forecasting a change in the weather with a considerable drop in temperature.
Sunday through to Monday will see a considerable temperature drop although the various climate models differ in the expected temperatures, ranging from 8 DegC to -15 DegC!!)

This week remains changeable with Atlantic lows tracking West to East bringing more wind and rain

Well, not this week. The models all indicate that the current conditions will continue for the coming week with strong to gale force Westerlies or South Westerlies bringing unsettled and sometimes very wet conditions.

Apologies for the lack of updates this New Year, I installed antivirus program which promptly stopped my web page editor from working. It's all sorted out now though so normal service is resumed!